EXIT 46 · Market MOS · Weather Trader / ForecastEx

ForecastEx-MOS

Experimental calibration of ForecastEx daily temperature forecasts inferred from its trade ladder. Last-trade age and incomplete strike coverage limit availability. An indicative forecast is not an executable price.

Open guidance ↗Market recap ↗Station model analysis ↗

What to inspect

Follow successive runs for the same target date. Compare error, bias and interval coverage on shared stations and dates. A sharper forecast is useful only when its uncertainty remains reliable.

Dedicated raw-versus-calibrated scorecard; historical reconstruction and forward record are separate. Not admitted to the weather-only ensemble.

Updates and availability

Ten-minute market archive; first eligible hourly calibrated issue; experimental

Latest cycle on file
market-mos-v1
Issued UTC
2026-10-18T03:12:02Z
Issue age
0.1 hours

Age describes the retained issue, not a guarantee that the upstream feed is current.

Station and neighborhood context

Use the station page to compare diurnal evolution, nearby observations and weather regimes. The linked page contains all available sources; availability varies by station.

How to read the record

Raw models, corrected station products and downscaled grids forecast different things. Market recap shows its decision cutoff, settlement basis and coverage. Missing forecasts are unavailable, never zero. Inclusion in this directory or recap does not imply inclusion in a trading blend.

Existing model verification and cycle archive ↗