Weather Trader — A Prediction Market for the Atmosphere

WEATHER TRADER

U S

ROUTE

Model-vs-model prediction markets. Priced, settled, and scored — against a live, global multi-model forecast archive.

Every price on this site comes from a real model (or a calibrated blend of several), and every settled contract is checked against the observed truth. Nothing here is a guess dressed up as a number.

POINT-TO-POINT US FORECASTS · powered by weather.city ▸

For readers — your forecast

Forecast Points

Reserve your exact spot on the map — not a ZIP centroid.

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weather.city

Any US point, right now — the NOAA NWS NDFD forecast.

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Station Network

~50 US metros, scored daily — the 15-day multi-model outlook.

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Scoreboard

The public accuracy record — provable, settled, scored.

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For traders — the market

Trading Desk

Price any market, at any point, live — model vs. House.

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Model Arena

Season standings, ELO ratings — models scored head-to-head.

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Grade the Forecast

Report cards, a live model desk, and the lead-time record.

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Interactive Map

The full model viewer — every layer, every product.

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