EXIT 13 · Human guidance · NOAA / NWS
NDFD
The National Digital Forecast Database contains the official NWS forecast. Human-edited guidance is compared with model guidance in the station record.
What to inspect
Follow successive runs for the same target date. Compare error, bias and interval coverage on shared stations and dates. A sharper forecast is useful only when its uncertainty remains reliable.
See recap for available station/day coverage
Updates and availability
See issued guidance for available cycles; collection and upstream release times differ
No issue timestamp is exposed by this directory for this product. The linked guidance page carries its own coverage and run information.
Station and neighborhood context
Use the station page to compare diurnal evolution, nearby observations and weather regimes. The linked page contains all available sources; availability varies by station.
How to read the record
Raw models, corrected station products and downscaled grids forecast different things. Market recap shows its decision cutoff, settlement basis and coverage. Missing forecasts are unavailable, never zero. Inclusion in this directory or recap does not imply inclusion in a trading blend.
Existing model verification and cycle archive ↗