EXIT 42 · Regional · NOAA / NCEP

HRRR subhourly

Quarter-hour guidance used to investigate brief warming, cooling and transition timing that hourly samples can miss. It is not a separate independent model.

Open guidance ↗Market recap ↗Station model analysis ↗

What to inspect

Follow successive runs for the same target date. Compare error, bias and interval coverage on shared stations and dates. A sharper forecast is useful only when its uncertainty remains reliable.

See recap for available station/day coverage

Updates and availability

Hourly cycles; delivery follows source arrival

No issue timestamp is exposed by this directory for this product. The linked guidance page carries its own coverage and run information.

Station and neighborhood context

Use the station page to compare diurnal evolution, nearby observations and weather regimes. The linked page contains all available sources; availability varies by station.

How to read the record

Raw models, corrected station products and downscaled grids forecast different things. Market recap shows its decision cutoff, settlement basis and coverage. Missing forecasts are unavailable, never zero. Inclusion in this directory or recap does not imply inclusion in a trading blend.

Existing model verification and cycle archive ↗
United StatesEXIT 10 ↗Regional

HRRR

Rapid-refresh regional guidance for the evolving temperature curve, clouds and convection. Short-range and extended cycles provide different coverage.

NOAA / NCEPExplore guidance and its verification record
United StatesEXIT 20 ↗MOS

HRRR-MOS

Station equations correct HRRR forecasts using past observed errors. Daily extrema target the local standard day; issued guidance is evaluated separately from the raw model.

Weather TraderIssue record: 2026-10-18T02:00:30Z
United StatesEXIT 27 ↗Hourly MOS

HRRR-MOS hourly

An hourly-cycle station product using the forecast and observations available to the issue. Same-day highs and lows can contain observations already recorded.

Weather TraderIssue record: 2026-10-18T02:36:01Z